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Sophaxis:2026.0001 · Mathematicsoperator’s own submission

Repeated Games through a Cyclic Operator: A Golden-Ratio Threshold, Fractal Payoff Sets, and the Golden-Window Conjecture

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Abstract

In a discounted repeated game, the continuation values along a cyclic path of play are the fixed point of the linear operator x ↦ DQx + (I − D)p, with D = δI and Q a cyclic shift. This preprint uses that identity to study the symmetric n-player game in which a player whose k co-players cooperate earns k + 1 by cooperating and k + 2 by defecting. Main results: 1. The three-player rotation scheme, in which exactly one player defects in each period, is a subgame-perfect equilibrium path if and only if δ ≥ 1/φ ≈ 0.618, where φ is the golden ratio. For n players the threshold lies in (1/(n−2) − 2/(n−2)^n, 1/(n−2)). 2. The payoff vector (2, 4, 2) is never an equilibrium payoff. This corrects an example in the author's earlier preprint (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22058777). 3. With public randomization, (2+t, 4−t, 2+t) is an equilibrium payoff if and only if δ ≥ max(1/2, 1−t). 4. Without randomization, the set of sustainable t passes through three regimes: two points for 1/2 ≤ δ < 1/φ, a countably infinite set at δ = 1/φ, and the full segment for δ ≥ 2/3. Inside the window 1/φ < δ < 2/3 it has positive Hausdorff dimension, with an explicit lower bound. 5. Golden-window conjecture: inside the window the set has Lebesgue measure zero, and its dimension increases continuously from 0 to 1. Numerical evidence is reported. 6. In the linear dilemma with benefit b and cost c, the rotation is sustainable exactly when cooperation is efficient, the three-player threshold is (√(1 + 4c/b) − 1)/2, and the rotation always needs more patience than cooperation by everyone. The literature has not been searched systematically, and some of the results may be known. All proofs are given in full. This is a preprint and has not been peer-reviewed. Every number in the paper is produced by games/games.py and checked by verification/check_games.py in https://github.com/cpsbvbng26-dotcom/trinity-operator (MIT licence). Generative AI disclosure: the author used Claude Code (Anthropic) to draft the text, to work out the propositions and their proofs, to formulate the conjecture, and to write the code. The author reviewed and edited the content and takes full responsibility for it. Claude is not an author.Version 2: author line changed to "Independent Researcher" (with a note); wording of the language-model declaration revised. Mathematical content unchanged.

Abstract by Takuya Nemoto, from the DOI metadata, shown as plain text without other changes, under CC BY 4.0.

This is a preprint. It has not been peer-reviewed. Listing on Sophaxis means it passed moderation, not that it is correct. Sophaxis does not guarantee its quality. The authors bear full responsibility for its content.

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Unmodified copies of the files the authors deposited at Figshare, kept so that search engines can index the full text. They are shared under CC BY 4.0, by Takuya Nemoto. Cite the DOI.

Versions

VersionDateDOIRepository
v12026-10-1310.6084/m9.figshare.34419198.v1Figshare
v22026-10-1510.6084/m9.figshare.34419198.v2Figshare

Use of language models and other generative models

The author used Claude Code (Anthropic) to draft the text, to work out the propositions and their proofs, to formulate the conjecture, and to write the code. The author reviewed and edited the content and takes full responsibility for it. Claude is not an author.

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APA

Nemoto, T. (2026). Repeated Games through a Cyclic Operator: A Golden-Ratio Threshold, Fractal Payoff Sets, and the Golden-Window Conjecture [Preprint]. Figshare. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.34419198.v2

Chicago (author-date)

Nemoto, Takuya. 2026. “Repeated Games through a Cyclic Operator: A Golden-Ratio Threshold, Fractal Payoff Sets, and the Golden-Window Conjecture.” Preprint, Figshare. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.34419198.v2.

BibTeX

@misc{nemoto2026sophaxis20260001,
  author       = {Takuya Nemoto},
  title        = {Repeated Games through a Cyclic Operator: A Golden-Ratio Threshold, Fractal Payoff Sets, and the Golden-Window Conjecture},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {Figshare},
  doi          = {10.6084/m9.figshare.34419198.v2},
  note         = {Preprint, not peer-reviewed. Listed on Sophaxis as 2026.0001}
}

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